What is the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart?

The Bitcoin Rainbow Chart is a logarithmic price visualization that divides Bitcoin's historical price into color-coded bands from blue (undervalued/Fire Sale) to red (overvalued/Bubble Territory). It was created by Trolololo in 2014 and uses logarithmic regression to forecast potential price ranges.

What is the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model?

The Stock-to-Flow model, popularized by PlanB, measures Bitcoin's scarcity by comparing existing supply (stock) to new production (flow). A higher S2F ratio indicates greater scarcity and theoretically higher value. Bitcoin's S2F increases with each halving event.

What is the Power Law model for Bitcoin?

The Power Law model uses logarithmic regression to estimate Bitcoin's fair value based on time since genesis. It calculates both a fair value line and a support line, helping identify when Bitcoin may be over or undervalued relative to its long-term growth trajectory.

BTC Predictions - Bitcoin Price Prediction Models

Compare Bitcoin Price Prediction Models

Analyze historical Bitcoin price movements against proven prediction models. Select models to overlay on the chart and receive data-driven market signals based on real-time data.

Models

Stock-to-Flow Toggle Stock-to-Flow model overlay Power Law Toggle Power Law model overlay Rainbow Chart Toggle Rainbow Chart model overlay

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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All models are speculative and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Always do your own research.

About Bitcoin Price Prediction Models

Rainbow Chart

The Bitcoin Rainbow Chart is a logarithmic price visualization tool created by Trolololo in 2014 and refined by the community. It divides Bitcoin's price history into color-coded bands:

Blue (Fire Sale): Historically the best buying opportunity
Green (Accumulate): Good time to accumulate Bitcoin
Yellow (HODL): Fair value range, hold your position
Orange (FOMO): Consider taking some profits
Red (Bubble): Historically overbought territory

Stock-to-Flow (S2F) Model

The Stock-to-Flow model, popularized by analyst PlanB in 2019, measures Bitcoin's scarcity by comparing existing supply to new production. The model predicts price based on the formula:

Price = 0.159 × (Stock ÷ Flow)^3.36

With each halving reducing Bitcoin's flow, the S2F ratio increases, theoretically driving price higher. After the 2024 halving, Bitcoin's S2F exceeded 120, surpassing gold's scarcity.

Power Law Model

The Power Law model uses logarithmic regression to identify Bitcoin's long-term fair value trajectory. It calculates:

Fair Value: The center line representing expected price
Support: Lower bound that has historically held during bear markets

The model is based on the observation that Bitcoin's price follows a power-law relationship with time since the genesis block.